Match Info

AUSTRIA: REGIONALLIGA WEST - SALZBURG - ROUND 17

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	St. Johann im Pongau		Liefering

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.5
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.46	3.51	2.41
	2.55	3.32	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.15)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	2.45 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johann im Pongau
36.5%

Draw
26.7%

Liefering
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27.8%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johann im Pongau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Johann im Pongau's form might have worsened.

Liefering has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liefering's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johann im Pongau than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Johann im Pongau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liefering than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liefering, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

St. Johann im Pongau - Liefering Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Regionalliga West ~ Salzburg (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone Regionalliga West ~ Salzburg (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Johann won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

St. Johann could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches St. Johann won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-35.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Johann won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV St. Johann im Pongau
Austrian Regionalliga West - Salzburg
26.10.22	St. Johann im Pongau - Bischofshofen	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Wals-Grünau - St. Johann im Pongau	3:0 ✺
14.10.22	UFC Hallein - St. Johann im Pongau	1:3 ✺
07.10.22	St. Johann im Pongau - Kuchl	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Austria Salzburg - St. Johann im Pongau	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL
- FC Liefering
Austrian 2 Liga
29.10.22	Blau-Weiss Linz - Liefering	4:0 ✺
Austrian Regionalliga West - Salzburg
22.10.22	Liefering - Kuchl	0:1 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
21.10.22	Liefering - Rapid Wien II	6:1 ✺
Austrian Regionalliga West - Salzburg
16.10.22	Austria Salzburg - Liefering	4:1 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
15.10.22	Lafnitz - Liefering	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga West - Salzburg
20.08.22	Liefering - St. Johann im Pongau	3:0
23.10.21	Liefering - St. Johann im Pongau	2:3
25.08.21	St. Johann im Pongau - Liefering	2:1
03.10.20	Liefering - St. Johann im Pongau	1:1
18.08.20	St. Johann im Pongau - Liefering	0:0
28.09.19	Liefering - St. Johann im Pongau	3:1
Austrian Regionalliga West
22.04.19	Liefering - St. Johann im Pongau	3:1

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