Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	St. Johann im Pongau		Reichenau

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.9
	3.35	3.7	1.82
	3.37	3.72	1.84
	7.58	5.19	1.32	Watch
	3.68	3.74	1.79
	3.1	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.1)	3.93 ↑ (3.8)	1.77 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johann im Pongau
23.2%

Draw
23.9%

Reichenau
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

23.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

23.1%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johann im Pongau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Johann im Pongau's form might have worsened.

Reichenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reichenau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johann im Pongau than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reichenau than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

St. Johann im Pongau - Reichenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johann won 1.

St. Johann is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Reichenau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Reichenau has had a series of home games.

In this match, Reichenau is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Johann won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Johann won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV St. Johann im Pongau
Austrian Regionalliga West
27.09.25	Seekirchen - St. Johann im Pongau	5:1 ✺
24.09.25	St. Johann im Pongau - Rheindorf Altach U21	1:1 ✺
16.09.25	Lauterach - St. Johann im Pongau	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Kufstein - St. Johann im Pongau	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	St. Johann im Pongau - Hohenems	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTTTL
- SVG Reichenau
Austrian Regionalliga West
28.09.25	Reichenau - Kufstein	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Reichenau - Kuchl	4:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
16.09.25	Reichenau - Wolfsberger	0:6 ✺
Austrian Regionalliga West
12.09.25	Schwaz - Reichenau	2:3 ✺
05.09.25	Reichenau - Imst	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga West
31.05.25	St. Johann im Pongau - Reichenau	0:3
02.11.24	Reichenau - St. Johann im Pongau	1:0
08.06.24	Reichenau - St. Johann im Pongau	5:0
04.11.23	St. Johann im Pongau - Reichenau	1:1
10.11.18	Reichenau - St. Johann im Pongau	1:2
04.08.18	St. Johann im Pongau - Reichenau	2:2
07.11.15	St. Johann im Pongau - Reichenau	1:2

St. Johann im Pongau - Reichenau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide