Match Info

Premiership - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: McDiarmid Park (Perth)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Romania	Digi Sport 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
United-kingdom	Kilmarnock TV, Saints TV, Sky Go
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	St. Johnstone		Kilmarnock

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.9
	2.20	3.30	3.20
	1.98	3.45	3.55	Watch
	2.02	3.75	3.82
	2.14	3.45	3.37	Watch
	1.93	3.7	3.75
	2.01	3.62	3.73	Watch
	2.02	3.65	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.18)	3.57 ↑ (3.48)	3.64 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johnstone
47.1%

Draw
26.7%

Kilmarnock
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

27.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

29.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

St. Johnstone - Kilmarnock Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kilmarnock: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 5. Mitchell Z. 3. Diabate C. 14. Foulds M. 42. McAlear R. 8. Holt J. (C) 11. Stanton S. 10. Gullan J. 9. Fowler J. 99. Paton R.	1. Stryjek M. (G) 8. Ring E. 25. Schilte-Brown E. 14. Stanger G. 21. Schjonning-Larsen M. 11. Kiltie G. (C) 36. Tshibola A. 18. Lowery T. 20. Clescenco N. 10. John-Jules T. 9. Hugill J.
Substitutes
15. Baird J. 4. Boyes M. 23. Chalmers L. 19. Finlayson D. 18. Fotheringham K. 17. Lloyd L. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 7. Steven T. 25. Tait M.	39. Bowie E. 2. Brandon J. 12. Ferrie C. (G) 23. Mathurin R. 7. McKenzie R. 5. O'Hara M. 27. Owen I. 49. Rice B. 15. Yfeko J.
Coaches
Valakari S.	McCann N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Fowler J. ⚽, Gullan J. (A),
21', John-Jules T. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Kiltie G. ⚽, Lowery T. (A),
45+2', John-Jules T. ↓, Brandon J. ↑,
45+4', Smith L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
47', 2 - 1, Diabate C. ⚽, Gullan J. (A),
49', 2 - 2, Hugill J. ⚽,
52', Diabate C. 🟨,
53', 2 - 3, Holt J. (Own goal),
59', Tshibola A. ↓, Rice B. ↑,
59', Clescenco N. ↓, Mathurin R. ↑,
61', Holt J. ↓, Chalmers L. ↑,
61', Paton R. ↓, Fotheringham K. ↑,
66', Ring E. ↓, O'Hara M. ↑,
69', McAlear R. ↓, Lloyd L. ↑,
69', 3 - 3, Schjonning-Larsen M. (Own goal),
80', 4 - 3, Fotheringham K. ⚽, Fowler J. (A),
83', Brandon J. 🟨,
84', Fowler J. ↓, Tait M. ↑,
85', Gullan J. ↓, Baird J. ↑,
85', Kiltie G. ↓, Owen I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 2.

In recent matches, St. Johnstone has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kilmarnock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

St. Johnstone could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Johnstone won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

St Johnstone: 0.33% Kilmarnock: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	St Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6:15	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	St. Johnstone - East Fife	1:2 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Inverness - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	St. Johnstone - Greenock Morton	3:0 ✺
14.07.26	Linlithgow Rose - St. Johnstone	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Cove Rangers - St. Johnstone	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW
- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Peterhead - Kilmarnock	1:0 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Kilmarnock - Hamilton Academical	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Elgin City - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
14.07.26	Kilmarnock - Raith Rovers	1:0 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Linfield - Kilmarnock	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
03.05.25	St. Johnstone - Kilmarnock	0:2
15.02.25	Kilmarnock - St. Johnstone	3:1
23.11.24	St. Johnstone - Kilmarnock	1:0
11.08.24	Kilmarnock - St. Johnstone	0:3
13.04.24	St. Johnstone - Kilmarnock	0:2
23.12.23	Kilmarnock - St. Johnstone	2:1
01.11.23	St. Johnstone - Kilmarnock	2:1

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