The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aberdeen 48.2%
Draw 27.3%
St. Johnstone 24.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.5%
27.7%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
28%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aberdeen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Aberdeen - St. Johnstone Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Muller M. (G) 28. Cadden Ch. 22. Milne J. 5. Knoester M. 21. Molloy G. 24. Guinness-Walker N. 8. Lyons B. 40. Marshall F. 25. Ronan C. 9. Mouloua A. 15. Nisbet K. (C)
1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 19. Finlayson D. 2. Alic E. 26. Todd M. 11. Stanton S. 42. McAlear R. 8. Holt J. (C) 14. Foulds M. 99. Paton R. 9. Fowler J.
Substitutes
32. Aremu A. 17. Armstrong S. 26. Happe D. 30. Klein D. (G) 14. Mahou H. 23. Mayo L. 20. Olusanya T. 11. Smith L. 7. Yogane T.
32. Campbell J. 23. Chalmers L. 30. Cotterill J. 18. Fotheringham K. 10. Gullan J. 6. Mikulic B. 22. Schmidt D. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 7. Steven T.
Coaches
Robinson S.
Valakari S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Fowler J. (Penalty Awarded),
35', Mouloua A. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Paton R. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
59', Marshall F. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
59', Ronan C. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
67', Todd M. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
68', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
78', Stanton S. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
78', Fowler J. ↓, Gullan J. ↑,
90', Cadden Ch. ↓, Aremu A. ↑,
90+1', Finlayson D. ↓, Mikulic B. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 7th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 2.
Aberdeen has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
St. Johnstone has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Aberdeen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Aberdeen has faced a series of away games on the road.
Aberdeen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Aberdeen: Tobers K.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for St. Johnstone: Diabate C.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Aberdeen: Mayo L.
(Lacking Match Fitness).
Doubtful / questionable for St. Johnstone: Mikulic B.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aberdeen has recorded 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:11 (averaging 0.8:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aberdeen against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).