The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Pauli II 38.5%
Draw 26%
Bremer SV 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
24.3%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
24.7%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Bremer SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bremer SV than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
11.1%
77.8%
St. Pauli II - Bremer SV Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. St. Pauli II will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Bremer will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bremer: 64.6% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli II (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - St. Pauli II (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Bremer (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli II (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bremer (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Sabah H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Schutt M. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
St. Pauli II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
St. Pauli II
11
3
1
7
20:21
-1
10
18
Bremer
11
2
2
7
9:21
-12
8
Last Results with these Odds
St. Pauli II - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.64%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.