Match Info

Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Staal Jørpeland		Haugesund 2

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.95	2.82
	2.04	4	2.72
	1.94	4.07	3.13	Watch
	1.99	3.94	2.92
	2.5	4.2	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.48)	4.03 ↓ (4.1)	2.76 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Staal Jørpeland
43.9%

Draw
22.8%

Haugesund 2
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

22.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

21.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Staal Jørpeland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Staal Jørpeland's performance.

Haugesund 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haugesund 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Staal Jørpeland than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Staal Jørpeland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund 2 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haugesund 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Staal Jørpeland - Haugesund 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Haraldseide D. R. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Seone I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 1 - 2, Veland J. ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, Norland H. ⚽,
70', 3 - 2, Bjorlo O. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Staal Jørpeland has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Haugesund 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Staal Jørpeland
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
13.09.25	Stord Sunnhordland - Staal Jørpeland	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Staal Jørpeland - Vidar	3:1 ✺
01.09.25	Viking 2 - Staal Jørpeland	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Staal Jørpeland - Våg	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Djerv 1919 - Staal Jørpeland	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36 LWLLL
- Haugesund 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
13.09.25	Våg - Haugesund 2	4:1 ✺
06.09.25	Haugesund 2 - Viking 2	0:1 ✺
01.09.25	Madla - Haugesund 2	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Haugesund 2 - Stord Sunnhordland	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Vidar - Haugesund 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LLWWL

Staal Jørpeland - Haugesund 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide