Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday


	Stabæk 2		Orkla FK

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.34	3.41
	1.7	4.5	3.6	Watch
	1.57	4.5	4
	1.69	4.2	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.45)	4.39 ↓ (4.75)	3.7 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk 2
54.6%

Draw
20.8%

Orkla FK
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

19.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

13.9%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stabæk 2's form might have worsened.

Orkla FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orkla FK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stabæk 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Stabæk 2 - Orkla FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Johnsen E. H. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Oppedal O. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Simonsen P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 1 - 3, Johnsen E. H. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 11).

Recent matches Stabæk 2 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orkla is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stabæk 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stabæk 2 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stabæk 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
17.08.24	Stabæk 2 - Melhus	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Mosjøen - Stabæk 2	0:7 ✺
03.08.24	Stabæk 2 - Trygg Lade	0:5 ✺
28.07.24	Rana - Stabæk 2	3:1 ✺
21.07.24	Stabæk 2 - Byåsen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TWLLT
- Orkla FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
17.08.24	Orkla FK - Verdal	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Rana - Orkla FK	5:0 ✺
05.08.24	Orkla FK - Rosenborg II	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Tiller - Orkla FK	2:1 ✺
24.07.24	Orkla FK - Trygg Lade	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
12.05.24	Orkla FK - Stabæk 2	0:2

Stabæk 2 - Orkla FK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide