Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Stade Gabèsien		Kasserine

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.25	5.5
	1.57	3.39	5.74
	1.69	3.27	5.11	Watch
	1.54	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2)	3.35 ↑ (3)	5.59 ↑ (3.8)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Gabèsien
56.7%

Draw
27.1%

Kasserine
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

30.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.3%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Gabèsien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Gabèsien's performance.

Kasserine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kasserine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Gabèsien than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Gabèsien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasserine than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kasserine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Sassi K. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Oudi I. (Pen),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion Group: )).

Stade Gabèsien has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kasserine has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kasserine may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kasserine has had a series of away games.

Stade Gabèsien could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stade Gabèsien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Gabèsien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Gabèsien
Tunisian Ligue 2
22.11.25	Kalaâ - Stade Gabèsien	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Moknine	4:1 ✺
12.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Ariana	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sidi Bouzid - Stade Gabèsien	2:6 ✺
12.10.25	Jendouba Sport - Stade Gabèsien	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWT
- AS Kasserine
Tunisian Ligue 2
15.11.25	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer - Kasserine	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Korba - Kasserine	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Moknine - Kasserine	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Bouchamma - Kasserine	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kasserine - Sidi Bouzid	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
05.05.25	Stade Gabèsien - Kasserine	Kasserine awarded
22.12.24	Kasserine - Stade Gabèsien	1:0
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
24.04.16	Kasserine - Stade Gabèsien	3:2
20.11.15	Stade Gabèsien - Kasserine	0:1

Stade Gabèsien - Kasserine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide