The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stade Malien 25%
Draw 34.7%
Espérance ST 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
29.1%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
29.2%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Malien's form might have worsened.
Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Malien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
40%
50%
Stade Malien - Espérance ST Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Stade Malien will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Espérance ST will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Espérance ST: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Malien (votes: 1 - 20%). Espérance ST (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Traore N. (G) 28. Bode A. 5. Diarra B. 36. Simpara I. 13. Awine F. 8. Mandjan H. 18. Traore M. (C) 12. Bello A. 11. Diallo M. 34. Nkeng T. 10. Coulibaly D.
32. Ben Said B. (G) 23. Keita I. 6. Jelassi H. 5. Meriah Y. (C) 20. Ben Hamida M. 39. Haj Ali M. 14. Ogbelu O. 7. Boualia K. 31. Jebali C. 21. Konate A. 29. Diakite A.
Substitutes
32. Asamoah G. 6. Camara M. 21. Conde M. 4. Coulibaly A. 15. Hama B. 25. Konare S. 19. Simpara Z. 16. Sy C. (G)
33. Bouassida A. 22. Danho F. 37. Drager M. 27. Guenichi K. 12. Laifi N. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 24. Rafia H. 8. Tka H. 10. Yan Sasse
Coaches
Njoya M.
Kanzari M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Nkeng T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jebali C. ↓, Yan Sasse ↑,
46', Konate A. ↓, Diarra J. ↑,
47', Bode A. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Coulibaly D. ⚽,
65', Diakite A. ↓, Danho F. ↑,
65', Ogbelu O. ↓, Tka H. ↑,
71', Meriah Y. ↓, Drager M. ↑,
72', Keita I. 🟨,
90+1', Nkeng T. ↓, Konare S. ↑,
90+3', Diallo M. ↓, Issa H. ↑,
Preview
Stade Malien has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Espérance ST is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Espérance ST might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stade Malien won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Stade Malien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Espérance ST - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Africa
Asia
Australia
France
Hong-kong
Indonesia
Malaysia
New-zealand
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Watch
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Traore N. (G) 
Bode A. 
Awine F. 
Bello A. 
Ben Said B. (G) 
Keita I. 
Ogbelu O. 
Boualia K. 
Konate A. 
Conde M. 
Hama B. 
Danho F. 
Yan Sasse 
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