Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 8

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Bougouni		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	6.1	3.25	1.55	Watch
	6.52	3.37	1.57	Watch
	6.23	3.38	1.63	Watch
	6	3.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.21 ↑ (6)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouni
14.7%

Draw
27.6%

Stade Malien
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

27.7%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

26.9%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Bougouni - Stade Malien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

In recent matches, Bougouni has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stade Malien is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stade Malien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stade Malien has had a series of home games.

In this match, Stade Malien is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bougouni won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.4:2.6).

Including home match between the teams, Bougouni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	13	50
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
02.01.26	Bougouba - Bougouni	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bougouni - Djoliba	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Afrique Football Elite - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Bougouni - Korofina	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Real Bamako - Bougouni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLWL
- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
04.01.26	Stade Malien - Onze Créateurs	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Stade Malien - Derby Académie	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Bougouba - Stade Malien	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Stade Malien - Korofina	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Stade Malien - Djoliba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
19.05.25	Stade Malien - Bougouni	0:0
26.01.25	Bougouni - Stade Malien	1:2
03.01.24	Stade Malien - Bougouni	1:1
22.05.21	Stade Malien - Bougouni	4:0
08.11.17	Stade Malien - Bougouni	6:0

Bougouni - Stade Malien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide