Match Info

Challenge League - Round 21

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Colovray Sports Centre (Nyon)

Referee: Berchier L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1


	Stade Nyonnais		Bellinzona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.35	2.52
	2.62	3.6	2.59
	2.52	3.68	2.52	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.5
	2.49	3.32	2.46	Watch
	2.54	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.55)	3.42 ↓ (3.49)	2.52 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Nyonnais
36.5%

Draw
26.9%

Bellinzona
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Nyonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Bellinzona have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Stade Nyonnais will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Bellinzona will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Mastil M. (C) 12. Jaquenoud L. 71. Richard G. 23. Sarr I. 3. Correia R. 10. Diomande B. 14. Simo J. 8. Bega L. 22. Bah Mendes I. 18. Manquant J. 24. Borges F.	16. Muci A. (G) 23. Goncalves M. 4. Lopez B. 24. Jashari E. 6. Trapero 91. Mihajlovic D. (C) 14. Bomo J. 25. Ayala D. 88. Mosquera D. 19. Sadiku A. 11. Vogt W.
Substitutes
17. Aymon Y. 19. Bechar H. 77. Edougue S. 15. Grognuz N. 34. Leclercq M. 1. Mazzeo M. (G) 6. Okuka M. 31. Rodriguez P. 90. Stoll R.	77. Grano A. 45. Jaiteh M. 80. Kury J. 20. Mayorga J. 8. Rey A. 5. Rizvanovic M. 7. Rossier E. 79. Shala L. 22. Trochen E. (G)
Coaches
Binotto A.	Sannino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Jashari E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Ayala D. 🟨,
54', Manquant J. ↓, Edougue S. ↑,
64', Jashari E. ↓, Rizvanovic M. ↑,
66', Diomande B. 🟨,
69', Bega L. ↓, Okuka M. ↑,
70', Goncalves M. 🟨,
71', Vogt W. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
71', Sadiku A. ↓, Rossier E. ↑,
78', Mosquera D. 🟨,
79', Bomo J. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
79', Ayala D. ↓, Rey A. ↑,
79', Bah Mendes I. ↓, Bechar H. ↑,
79', Borges F. ↓, Aymon Y. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Rossier E. ⚽, Rizvanovic M. (A),
88', Rizvanovic M. 🟨,
89', Rey A. 🟨,
90+1', Mosquera D. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Aymon Y. ⚽, Okuka M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 2.

Stade Nyonnais is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bellinzona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Brandy E. (Yellow Cards) Ghia J. (Injury) Soro K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Bellinzona: Chouik I. (Inactive) Dermaku D. (Injury) Lymann F. (Injury) Moulin P. (Injury) Sorensen A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stade Nyonnais: Alili B. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Nyonnais won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6:23	-17	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League
01.02.26	Wil 1900 - Stade Nyonnais	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Stade Nyonnais - Étoile Carouge	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Wil 1900 - Stade Nyonnais	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bellinzona - Stade Nyonnais	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTLL
- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
30.01.26	Bellinzona - Neuchâtel Xamax	5:0 ✺
24.01.26	Aarau - Bellinzona	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bellinzona - Wil 1900	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Bellinzona	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bellinzona - Stade Nyonnais	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
06.12.25	Bellinzona - Stade Nyonnais	2:0
29.08.25	Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona	3:1
18.04.25	Bellinzona - Stade Nyonnais	2:1
28.03.25	Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona	3:0
30.11.24	Bellinzona - Stade Nyonnais	1:1
26.07.24	Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona	2:1
09.05.24	Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona	1:3

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