Match Info

Challenge League - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Brügglifeld (Aarau)

Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6


	Aarau		Bellinzona

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.35	5.5
	1.46	4.4	7.2
	1.5	4.29	6.14	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.48	4.32	6.23	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.42)	4.24 ↓ (4.37)	6.29 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarau
63.4%

Draw
21.8%

Bellinzona
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

20.9%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Bellinzona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aarau - Bellinzona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarau (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aarau will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hirzel A. (G) 15. Muller S. 2. Thaler M. 3. Guzzo R. 38. Kessler R. 13. Zoukit N. 23. Frokaj L. 27. Obexer L. 9. Filet E. 10. Fazliu V. 18. Afriyie D.	16. Muci A. (G) 3. Sorensen A. 24. Jashari E. 4. Lopez B. 23. Goncalves M. 14. Bomo J. 25. Ayala D. 88. Mosquera D. 91. Mihajlovic D. 20. Mayorga J. 19. Sadiku A.
Substitutes
14. Chacon T. 25. Derbaci D. 1. Hubel M. (G) 8. Jackle O. 45. Mauch T. 31. Petit V. 19. Schwegler S. 11. Vladi S.	77. Grano A. 45. Jaiteh M. 8. Rey A. 10. Rossier E. 21. Shabani M. 22. Trochen E. (G) 11. Vogt W.
Coaches
Iacopetta B.	Sannino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Filet E. ⚽, Obexer L. (A),
20', Mayorga J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Filet E. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
63', Bomo J. ↓, Rossier E. ↑,
63', Sadiku A. ↓, Vogt W. ↑,
80', Afriyie D. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
80', Mayorga J. ↓, Rey A. ↑,
80', Frokaj L. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
86', Chacon T. 🟨,
90', Fazliu V. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 3.

In recent matches, Aarau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bellinzona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aarau has had a series of away games.

In this match, Aarau is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Aarau: Acquah D. (Yellow Cards) Aliu I. (Knee Injury) Bobadilla R. (Yellow Cards) Dickenmann M. (Red Card) Petit V. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Bellinzona: Amelibia J. (Injury) Dermaku D. (Injury) Lasso J. (Injury) Lymann F. (Injury) Mihajlovic D. (Injury) Tutonda D. (Red Card)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aarau	9	3	3	3	14:16	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aarau
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Aarau	4:1 ✺
06.01.26	Dynamo Dresden - Aarau	3:2 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
19.12.25	Vaduz - Aarau	3:2 ✺
12.12.25	Aarau - Étoile Carouge	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Yverdon - Aarau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWW
- AC Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League
20.12.25	Bellinzona - Wil 1900	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Bellinzona	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bellinzona - Stade Nyonnais	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Rapperswil-Jona - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Bellinzona - Vaduz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
08.11.25	Bellinzona - Aarau	5:1
13.08.25	Aarau - Bellinzona	1:0
31.03.25	Bellinzona - Aarau	1:1
01.02.25	Aarau - Bellinzona	2:1
09.11.24	Bellinzona - Aarau	1:4
31.08.24	Aarau - Bellinzona	1:2
26.04.24	Aarau - Bellinzona	0:2

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