Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 10

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Stade de Mbour		AJEL de Rufisque

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.52	2.58
	3.15	2.55	2.66	Watch
	3.1	2.45	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.17)	2.51 ↓ (2.56)	2.62 (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade de Mbour
29.2%

Draw
36.2%

AJEL de Rufisque
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

35.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

35.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade de Mbour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade de Mbour than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Mbour has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AJEL	30	15	9	6	27:19	8	54
10	Mbour	30	5	18	7	18:21	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Mbour
Senegal Ligue 1
29.12.25	Ouakam - Stade de Mbour	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Camberene - Stade de Mbour	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Jaraaf - Stade de Mbour	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Pikine - Stade de Mbour	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Génération Foot - Stade de Mbour	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLTTW
- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
28.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Wally Daan	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ouakam - AJEL de Rufisque	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - HLM	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Camberene - AJEL de Rufisque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWTT

Stade de Mbour - AJEL de Rufisque: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide