Match Info

Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 20

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Stadeln		Coburg

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.85	2.78
	1.61	4.6	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.55)	4.23 ↓ (4.55)	3.32 ↓ (4.05)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stadeln
50.4%

Draw
21.8%

Coburg
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

19.8%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

15.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stadeln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stadeln's form might have worsened.

Coburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stadeln than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation).

Stadeln is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stadeln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Coburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Stadeln is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Stadeln	13	5	4	4	17:20	-3	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Stadeln
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
28.03.26	Stadeln - Großschwarzenlohe	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Weiden - Stadeln	6:0 ✺
29.11.25	Fortuna Regensburg - Stadeln	5:1 ✺
14.11.25	Kornburg - Stadeln	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Stadeln - Eltersdorf	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- FC Coburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
17.04.26	Coburg - Neudrossenfeld	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Eltersdorf - Coburg	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Eintracht Bamberg - Coburg	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Neumarkt - Coburg	5:0 ✺
25.10.25	Coburg - Weiden	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL

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