Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 34

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday


	Stal Brzeg		Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.1	3.4	2.9
	2.08	3.48	2.9
	2.1	3.68	2.96	Watch
	1.9	3.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.7)	3.56 ↓ (4.25)	2.96 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Brzeg
44.1%

Draw
25.4%

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

21.4%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

20.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Brzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Brzeg's form might have worsened.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Brzeg than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Brzeg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stal Brzeg - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Brzeg won 1.

Stal Brzeg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Stal Brzeg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Stal Brzeg won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Brzeg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Brzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group III
09.06.23	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Stal Brzeg	0:3 ✺
03.06.23	Stal Brzeg - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Stal Brzeg	3:1 ✺
24.05.23	Stal Brzeg - Pniówek Pawłowice	3:2 ✺
20.05.23	Carina Gubin - Stal Brzeg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWT
- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.06.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Ślęza Wrocław	5:0 ✺
03.06.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	4:2 ✺
27.05.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:2 ✺
24.05.23	Chrobry Głogów 2 - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	0:3 ✺
20.05.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Kluczbork	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
19.11.22	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stal Brzeg	4:0
12.03.22	Stal Brzeg - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:2
14.08.21	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stal Brzeg	2:1
17.04.21	Stal Brzeg - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:1
05.09.20	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stal Brzeg	1:1
Club Friendly
11.07.20	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stal Brzeg	0:0
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.08.19	Stal Brzeg - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	3:2

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