Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 18

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry		Ślęza Wrocław

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.15
	2.44	3.6	2.31
	2.45	3.52	2.42
	2.46	3.5	2.41	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.85)	3.52 ↓ (3.8)	2.32 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
35.5%

Draw
25.6%

Ślęza Wrocław
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

23.9%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

23.5%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ślęza Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ślęza Wrocław might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ślęza Wrocław than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ślęza Wrocław could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Ślęza Wrocław Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 2.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ślęza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Club Friendly
31.01.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Polonia Nysa	4:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.11.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Carina Gubin	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	3:1 ✺
04.11.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLL
- Ślęza Wrocław
Club Friendly
16.02.24	Ślęza Wrocław - ŁKS Łódź II	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Chrobry Głogów - Ślęza Wrocław	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Ślęza Wrocław - Starowice Dolne	2:1 ✺
19.01.24	Ślęza Wrocław - Piast Żmigród	4:0 ✺
13.01.24	Odra Opole - Ślęza Wrocław	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.08.23	Ślęza Wrocław - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:2
10.06.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Ślęza Wrocław	5:0
12.11.22	Ślęza Wrocław - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1
27.04.22	Ślęza Wrocław - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	4:1
18.09.21	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Ślęza Wrocław	1:1
19.06.21	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Ślęza Wrocław	0:2
28.11.20	Ślęza Wrocław - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	4:1

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