Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Stal Kraśnik		Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.78
	2.14	3.66	2.79	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.27)	3.62 ↑ (3.48)	2.79 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Kraśnik
42.7%

Draw
24.9%

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

24.9%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Kraśnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Kraśnik than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Stal Kraśnik - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Stal Kraśnik has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kolbuszowa Dolna has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stal Kraśnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Kraśnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
12.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Stal Kraśnik	0:4 ✺
31.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:2 ✺
27.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Chełmianka Chełm	5:1 ✺
24.08.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Stal Kraśnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWTWL
- Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
14.09.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:4 ✺
05.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Wisła II Kraków	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLL

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