Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie (Rzeszow)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Stal Rzeszów		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.44
	5.15	4.65	1.49
	5.94	5.22	1.51
	4.13	4.55	1.66
	5	4.6	1.4
	5.63	4.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (4.08)	4.68 ↑ (3.99)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Rzeszów
17.9%

Draw
19.8%

Wisła Kraków
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

23.1%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

22.6%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Kraków's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Kraków, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Stal Rzeszów - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Wisła (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Wisła (1.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Wisła (1.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wisła Kraków will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 2. Warczak P. 39. Kaczor M. 3. Krasovskiy V. 77. Kukulka K. 21. Kadziolka S. 7. Lysiak K. (C) 6. Jablonski D. 47. Madej O. 10. Jonathan Junior 20. Kucharski J.	28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 34. Giger R. 50. Kutwa M. 29. Grujcic D. 2. Lelieveld J. 41. Duda K. 12. Igbekeme J. 17. Bozic M. 7. Ertlthaler J. (C) 10. Duarte F. 99. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
91. Darwish S. 44. Kaczowka J. 46. Lyczko S. 9. Masiak K. 24. Polap D. 17. Slawinski O. 4. Synos M. 50. Wolff F. (G) 25. Wolski F.	8. Carbo M. 31. Chichkan A. (G) 5. Colley J. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 51. Kuziemka M. 4. Mikulec R. 11. Nikaj A. 20. Omic E.
Coaches
Zub M.	Jop M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Kadziolka S. ⚽, Lysiak K. (A),
38', Kadziolka S. ↓, Slawinski O. ↑,
41', Kukulka K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Duda K. ↓, Kuziemka M. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Duarte F. ⚽,
61', Jonathan Junior ↓, Darwish S. ↑,
61', Kucharski J. ↓, Kaczowka J. ↑,
61', Madej O. ↓, Masiak K. ↑,
64', Lelieveld J. ↓, Krzyzanowski J. ↑,
64', Bozic M. ↓, Mikulec R. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Duarte F. ⚽,
78', Jablonski D. ↓, Wolski F. ↑,
81', Igbekeme J. ↓, Carbo M. ↑,
85', Sanchez J. ↓, Omic E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 1.

Stal Rzeszów has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wisła has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stal Rzeszów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wisła is a strong favorite.

We predict that Wisła will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Rzeszów won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

S. Rzeszow: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	S. Rzeszow	9	4	2	3	10:15	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
25.04.26	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Stal Mielec - Stal Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Stal Rzeszów - Odra Opole	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Raków Częstochowa - Stal Rzeszów	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
24.04.26	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Polonia Bytom - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Odra Opole - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
26.10.25	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	2:1
25.05.25	Stal Rzeszów - Wisła Kraków	0:3
22.11.24	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	1:1
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	1:2
Polish Division 1
18.02.24	Stal Rzeszów - Wisła Kraków	1:2
Polish Cup
07.12.23	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	4:1
Polish Division 1
05.08.23	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	0:0

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