Match Info

Division 2 - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Avia Świdnik

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.20	2.95
	2.28	3.05	2.8
	2.54	3.3	2.69
	2.29	3.29	3.04	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.65
	2.38	3.42	2.8	Watch
	2.28	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.57)	3.22 ↑ (3.17)	2.82 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
39.1%

Draw
28.4%

Avia Świdnik
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.9%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Avia Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avia Świdnik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Stal Stalowa Wola - Avia Świdnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Smylek M. (G) 44. Chrzanowski A. 43. Czerwik J. 3. Grabowski M. 9. Jelen J. 21. Kwapisz S. 18. Nongo G. 23. Sliwa M. 11. Zaucha P. 6. Zemlo P. 16. Zyra P.	31. Bialka M. (G) 10. Aftyka G. 15. Assuncao D. 36. Jodlowski K. 17. Kaminski S. 26. Kolodziejski M. 6. Orzechowski K. 33. Pigiel M. 9. Remenyuk A. 90. Welniak K. 25. Zbozien D. (C)
Substitutes
1. Harcinski K. (G) 10. Hebel M. 77. Kaminski D. . Kedziora H. 30. Rogalski A. . Saj J. 13. Solarz M. 17. Tomalski H. 19. Wolny D.	23. Falbierski B. 1. Jakubowski L. (G) 7. Kalinowski W. 80. Kryeziu E. 99. Kumorek M. 11. Lacki D. 24. Uliczny P. 14. Wroblewski M. 8. Zuber M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Welniak K. ↓, Lacki D. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Pigiel M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Jodlowski K. ↓, Kryeziu E. ↑,
46', Aftyka G. ↓, Zuber M. ↑,
47', Remenyuk A. 🟨,
63', Zyra P. ↓, Hebel M. ↑,
63', Jelen J. ↓, Wolny D. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Hebel M. ⚽,
72', Pigiel M. ↓, Kalinowski W. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Wolny D. ⚽,
79', Remenyuk A. ↓, Falbierski B. ↑,
82', Czerwik J. ↓, Rogalski A. ↑,
82', Sliwa M. ↓, Kaminski D. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Rogalski A. ⚽,
90', Nongo G. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 3.

Stal Stalowa Wola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Avia Swidnik: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Avia Swidnik	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11
13	S. Wola	10	3	1	6	16:21	-5	10

Last Results with these Odds

Stal Stalowa Wola - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 34.43%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
08.08.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
31.07.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Legia II - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Hutnik - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW
- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 2
09.08.26	Avia Świdnik - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Górnik Łęczna - Avia Świdnik	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Avia Świdnik - Olimpia Grudziądz	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Stal Mielec - Avia Świdnik	3:4 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.05.26	Czarni Połaniec - Avia Świdnik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.04.23	Avia Świdnik - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:2
17.09.22	Stal Stalowa Wola - Avia Świdnik	0:2
20.11.21	Stal Stalowa Wola - Avia Świdnik	0:1
07.08.21	Avia Świdnik - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:1
06.03.21	Stal Stalowa Wola - Avia Świdnik	1:0
15.08.20	Avia Świdnik - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1

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