Match Info

PFL - Championship Group

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Stallion		Aguilas-UMak

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	3.4	Watch
	1.81	3.49	3.49
	1.90	3.43	3.56	Watch
	1.76	3.6	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 (1.82)	3.58 ↓ (3.83)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stallion
49.7%

Draw
25.2%

Aguilas-UMak
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

23.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stallion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Aguilas-UMak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stallion than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguilas-UMak than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Stallion - Aguilas UMak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, McDaniel G. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Palpal-Latoc B. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Smith T. ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, Yamamoto K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stallion won 1.

Stallion is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Aguilas-UMak has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stallion is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Stallion won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stallion won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Davao Aguilas	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
5	Stallion	3	1	0	2	4:5	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stallion FC
Philippines PFL
27.05.26	Stallion - Cebu FC	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Manila Digger - Stallion	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	One Taguig - Stallion	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Stallion - Manila Digger	1:5 ✺
25.04.26	Stallion - One Taguig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 TTLLT
- Aguilas-UMak FC
Philippines PFL
27.05.26	Aguilas-UMak - One Taguig	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Cebu FC - Aguilas-UMak	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Kaya - Aguilas-UMak	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Aguilas-UMak - One Taguig	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Aguilas-UMak - Kaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Philippines PFL
11.02.26	Aguilas-UMak - Stallion	0:2
08.11.25	Stallion - Aguilas-UMak	2:2
09.03.25	Aguilas-UMak - Stallion	1:1
13.11.24	Stallion - Aguilas-UMak	0:1
12.05.24	Aguilas-UMak - Stallion	1:0
Philippines Copa Paulino Alcantara
26.08.23	Aguilas-UMak - Stallion	0:4
Philippines PFL
22.08.18	Aguilas-UMak - Stallion	2:2

Stallion - Aguilas-UMak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide