Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Stamford		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.5	2.18
	2.71	3.65	2.25
	2.78	3.48	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.83)	3.54 ↓ (3.62)	2.21 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stamford
33.2%

Draw
25.7%

Spalding United
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.1%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stamford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stamford's performance.

Spalding United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spalding United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stamford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spalding United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stamford - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Roberts J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Cybulski B. ⚽,
63', Marzano C. 🟥,
90+5', 0 - 3, Ceesay Y. ⚽,

Preview

Stamford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Spalding is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Spalding has had a series of away games.

In this match, Spalding is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stamford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Stamford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
23.08.25	Stamford - Halesowen Town	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Bishops Stortford - Stamford	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	St Ives Town - Stamford	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Stamford - Alvechurch	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Stamford - King`s Lynn Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL
- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
23.08.25	Stourbridge - Spalding United	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Spalding United	2:3 ✺
12.08.25	Harborough Town - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Real Bedford - Spalding United	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Corby Town - Spalding United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.04.25	Spalding United - Stamford	5:0
26.12.24	Stamford - Spalding United	1:1

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