Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Star Starachowice		Busko-Zdrój

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.70	3.90
	1.72	3.60	3.85
	1.65	3.74	4.14
	1.74	3.35	4.53	Watch
	1.62	3.70	4.15
	1.79	3.83	3.83	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	3.65 ↑ (3.47)	3.99 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Star Starachowice
52.6%

Draw
24.7%

Busko-Zdrój
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

23.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Busko-Zdrój has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Star Starachowice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busko-Zdrój than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Busko-Zdrój could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Star Starachowice - Busko Zdrój Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Morag A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 1, Kapoun S. ⚽,

Preview

Star Starachowice has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Busko-Zdrój is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Star Starachowice is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Busko-Zdroj	11	4	2	5	17:21	-4	14
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13:17	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.08.26	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Hetman Zamość - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Star Starachowice - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Star Starachowice	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Moravia Morawica - Star Starachowice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLT
- AKS Busko-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.08.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Busko-Zdrój - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Wieczysta II - Busko-Zdrój	1:3 ✺
02.08.26	Busko-Zdrój - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Busko-Zdrój - Naprzód Jędrzejów	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWTL

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