Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 15

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Starogard Gdański		Elana Toruń

	1	X	2
	4.8	4	1.52
	4.6	3.82	1.59
	4.61	3.82	1.59
	4.95	4.05	1.53	Watch
	4.65	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↓ (5.9)	3.94 ↓ (5.05)	1.56 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starogard Gdański
19.1%

Draw
22.9%

Elana Toruń
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

17.9%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

17.6%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starogard Gdański has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Elana Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elana Toruń might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elana Toruń could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Starogard Gdański - Elana Toruń Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 3.

Starogard Gdański has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Elana Toruń is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elana Toruń could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elana Toruń is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Starogard Gdański won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KP Starogard Gdański
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.10.23	Luzino - Starogard Gdański	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Starogard Gdański - Noteć Czarnków	0:4 ✺
14.10.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Starogard Gdański	3:1 ✺
06.10.23	Starogard Gdański - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Starogard Gdański	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Unia Swarzędz - Elana Toruń	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Flota Świnoujście - Elana Toruń	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Elana Toruń - Unia Solec Kujawski	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.08.21	Starogard Gdański - Elana Toruń	4:3
22.05.21	Starogard Gdański - Elana Toruń	1:1
07.04.21	Elana Toruń - Starogard Gdański	0:1
21.10.20	Elana Toruń - Starogard Gdański	1:2
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Elana Toruń - Starogard Gdański	2:0
Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.06.18	Elana Toruń - Starogard Gdański	0:3
18.11.17	Starogard Gdański - Elana Toruń	1:2

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