Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Sparebanken Sør Arena (Kristiansand)

Referee: Hatam A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Start		Egersund

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	3	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.15	3.75	3	Watch
	2.25	3.84	3.06
	2.17	3.7	3	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.17	3.7	2.96	Watch
	2.15	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.04)	3.67 ↓ (3.68)	2.95 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start
42.7%

Draw
25.5%

Egersund
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

25.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Egersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (-3%)

Start - Egersund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen J. (G) 4. Hansen S. (C) 13. Griesbeck S. 5. Jebali O. 2. Palerud F. 18. Ugland M. 10. Mvoue S. 30. Gausdal L. 16. Strannegard T. 8. Grundetjern M. 20. Lorentzen H.	1. Hermansen A. (G) 3. Maeland B. (C) 31. Jonsson I. 5. Jenssen N. 19. Yrga-Alem F. 27. Vatne S. 13. Pichkah P. 22. Tadesse H. 45. Sauer M. 9. Kapskarmo O. 28. Job D.
Substitutes
25. Benjamin T. 29. Gono E. 22. Nilsen A. E. 31. Seim J. 24. Strand-Kolbjornsen S. (G) 27. Sunday G. 3. Ujkani A.	11. Bergersen A. 91. Davis S. 21. Eggen K. 15. Elvevold H. 12. Klausen P. (G) 2. Kleppa H. 14. Oprea F. 7. Salama O. 26. Salmon J.
Coaches
Karadas A.	Eide E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Kapskarmo O. (Pen),
30', 0 - 1, Kapskarmo O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yrga-Alem F. 🟨,
57', Strannegard T. ↓, Ujkani A. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Grundetjern M. ⚽,
64', Pichkah P. 🟨,
66', Sauer M. 🟨,
68', Maeland B. ↓, Oprea F. ↑,
77', Ugland M. ↓, Nilsen A. E. ↑,
78', Palerud F. 🟨,
79', Sauer M. ↓, Bergersen A. ↑,
79', Yrga-Alem F. ↓, Kleppa H. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Griesbeck S. ⚽, Gausdal L. (A),
88', Tadesse H. ↓, Salmon J. ↑,
89', Job D. ↓, Salama O. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Start won 2.

Start is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Egersund is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Egersund may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Egersund has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Start won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 2.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Start won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Start
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.05.25	Raufoss - Start	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Start - Åsane	2:3 ✺
28.04.25	Mjøndalen - Start	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Pors - Start	3:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Start - Hødd	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLL
- Egersunds IK
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Ranheim - Egersund	2:3 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Odd - Egersund	1:1 ✺
28.04.25	Raufoss - Egersund	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Jerv - Egersund	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Egersund - Skeid	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.02.25	Start - Egersund	0:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.08.24	Egersund - Start	3:2
16.05.24	Start - Egersund	4:3
Club Friendly
24.02.24	Start - Egersund	1:7
10.02.23	Start - Egersund	2:0
06.02.22	Start - Egersund	4:0
Norwegian NM Cup
09.05.18	Egersund - Start	0:1

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