Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 27 December 2023, Wednesday

Location: Loftus Versfeld Stadium (Pretoria)


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Moroka Swallows

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.6	9.75
	1.33	4.5	10	Watch
	1.31	4.79	12.27
	1.32	4.79	12.27
	1.25	4.5	10
	1.31	4.6	9.9
	1.23	5.4	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)	4.74 ↑ (3.9)	10.88 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
71.9%

Draw
19.6%

Moroka Swallows
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.4%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

22.2%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mamelodi Sundowns's performance.

Moroka Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mamelodi Sundowns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moroka Swallows than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Mamelodi Sundowns - Moroka Swallows Predictions

Users Predictions: Mamelodi Sundowns will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mamelodi Sundowns won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Mamelodi Sundowns could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mamelodi Sundowns is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Mamelodi Sundowns won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
24.12.23	Cape Town City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
19.12.23	Pyramids - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
13.12.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town Spurs	3:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
10.12.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Pyramids	0:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
06.12.23	AmaZulu - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWTW
- Moroka Swallows
South African Premier Soccer League
23.12.23	Royal AM - Moroka Swallows	0:0 ✺
15.12.23	Moroka Swallows - Supersport United	1:2 ✺
05.12.23	Orlando Pirates - Moroka Swallows	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Moroka Swallows - Kaizer Chiefs	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Polokwane City - Moroka Swallows	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

South African MTN 8 Cup
12.08.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Moroka Swallows	1:0
South African Premier Soccer League
09.04.23	Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
03.01.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Moroka Swallows	2:0
06.04.22	Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:4
03.10.21	Mamelodi Sundowns - Moroka Swallows	3:0
29.05.21	Moroka Swallows - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
23.01.21	Mamelodi Sundowns - Moroka Swallows	1:1

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