Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 25

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Stenungsunds		Gauthiod

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.2	4.6
	1.55	4.5	4.5
	1.54	4.38	4.09
	1.56	4.46	4.46	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.5
	1.51	4.3	4.9
	1.55	4.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.66)	4.32 ↑ (3.98)	4.51 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenungsunds
58.9%

Draw
21%

Gauthiod
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

22.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

17.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenungsunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stenungsunds's performance.

Gauthiod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenungsunds than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stenungsunds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthiod than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gauthiod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stenungsunds - Gauthiod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 🟥,
60', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stenungsund won 2.

Stenungsund is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gauthiod has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Stenungsund is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Stenungsund won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Stenungsund won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenungsunds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
04.10.24	Kongahälla - Stenungsunds	1:0 ✺
27.09.24	Vänersborgs FK - Stenungsunds	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Stenungsunds - Kumla	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Stenungsunds - Motala	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	Lidkoping - Stenungsunds	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL
- IK Gauthiod
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
05.10.24	Gauthiod - Motala	1:3 ✺
28.09.24	Gauthiod - Ahlafors	4:4 ✺
21.09.24	Grebbestad - Gauthiod	7:0 ✺
15.09.24	Forward - Gauthiod	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Gauthiod - Vänersborgs IF	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
15.06.24	Gauthiod - Stenungsunds	3:2
15.09.23	Stenungsunds - Gauthiod	3:1
18.05.23	Gauthiod - Stenungsunds	0:1
03.09.22	Gauthiod - Stenungsunds	3:1
14.05.22	Stenungsunds - Gauthiod	0:4
27.10.21	Gauthiod - Stenungsunds	1:2
06.10.21	Stenungsunds - Gauthiod	1:1

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