Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 23

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Gauthiod		Ahlafors

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.1	1.62
	4	4.33	1.66
	3.62	4.25	1.68
	3.82	4.37	1.67
	4	4.2	1.6
	4.1	4.1	1.64
	4	4.33	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.06)	4.24 ↑ (4.2)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthiod
23.2%

Draw
21.5%

Ahlafors
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

21.6%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

21.2%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthiod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ahlafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthiod than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Gauthiod - Ahlafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', 1 - 3, ⚽,
58', 2 - 3, ⚽,
61', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 4, ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gauthiod won 1.

Gauthiod is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ahlafors is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ahlafors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ahlafors is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gauthiod won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Gauthiod won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Gauthiod
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
21.09.24	Grebbestad - Gauthiod	7:0 ✺
15.09.24	Forward - Gauthiod	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Gauthiod - Vänersborgs IF	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Säffle - Gauthiod	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Gauthiod - Kongahälla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLLW
- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
22.09.24	Ahlafors - Kongahälla	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Ahlafors - Herrestads	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Kumla - Ahlafors	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs FK	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Motala - Ahlafors	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
23.05.24	Ahlafors - Gauthiod	1:0
12.08.22	Ahlafors - Gauthiod	2:0
23.04.22	Gauthiod - Ahlafors	2:1
20.11.21	Gauthiod - Ahlafors	1:2
11.09.21	Ahlafors - Gauthiod	0:0
09.09.20	Ahlafors - Gauthiod	1:1

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