Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 11

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	Stenungsunds		Vänersborgs IF

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.70	5.00
	1.55	4.05	5.15
	1.56	3.9	4.9
	1.57	4.06	4.89	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5
	1.55	3.75	5.28
	1.74	3.85	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.95)	3.82 ↑ (3.7)	4.85 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenungsunds
57.4%

Draw
23.8%

Vänersborgs IF
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

24.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

23.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenungsunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stenungsunds's performance.

Vänersborgs IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vänersborgs IF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenungsunds than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stenungsunds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs IF than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vänersborgs IF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenungsund won 2.

Stenungsund has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vänersborgs IF's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Stenungsund is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stenungsund won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stenungsund won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Stenungsunds	24	9	6	9	42:33	9	33
14	Vanersborgs IF ✔	24	2	3	19	24:69	-45	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenungsunds IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
31.05.26	Husqvarna - Stenungsunds	3:1 ✺
23.05.26	Stenungsunds - Lidkoping	6:0 ✺
17.05.26	Stenungsunds - Motala	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	Herrestads - Stenungsunds	4:1 ✺
03.05.26	Stenungsunds - Karlstad II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLW
- Vänersborgs IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
31.05.26	Motala - Vänersborgs IF	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Vänersborgs IF - Husqvarna	0:4 ✺
15.05.26	IFK Skövde - Vänersborgs IF	6:2 ✺
08.05.26	Vänersborgs IF - Lidkoping	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Vänersborgs FK - Vänersborgs IF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
29.06.24	Vänersborgs IF - Stenungsunds	1:1
06.04.24	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	1:0
12.09.20	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	1:5
07.09.19	Vänersborgs IF - Stenungsunds	1:0
24.05.19	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	1:0
11.08.18	Vänersborgs IF - Stenungsunds	0:3
21.04.18	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs IF	0:1

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