Match Info

Besta deild Women - Round 12

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stjörnuvöllur (Reykjavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland


	Stjarnan		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.20	4.60
	1.50	4.00	4.50	Watch
	1.60	4.71	4.60
	1.59	4.49	4.27	Watch
	1.58	4.65	4.10
	1.51	4.30	4.86
	1.51	4.30	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 (1.54)	4.38 ↑ (4.06)	4.53 ↓ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
59.1%

Draw
20.8%

Thor Akureyri
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Skiba B. (G) 21. Hjaltadottir T. 4. Hjorvarsdottir J. 7. Johannesdottir F. 9. Johannsdottir B. 14. Jorundsdottir S. 26. Palsdottir A. (C) 8. Ragnarsdottir I. 35. Steindorsdottir T. 6. Ulfarsdottir U. 5. Wirtz E.	12. Doherty Augur A. (G) 14. Arnadottir M. 11. Asgrimsdottir A. (C) 10. Bjornsdottir E. 26. Flurey E. 2. Helgadottir A. 5. Hrafnsdottir K. 4. Johannesdottir M. 18. Johannsdottir B. 22. Jonsdottir H. 9. Sigurgeirsdottir K.
Substitutes
15. Arnarsdottir H. 28. Bjornsdottir E. 12. Eymundsdottir B. (G) 18. Gisladottir M. 2. Hauksdottir S. 40. Saevarsdottir K. 29. Tiernan M.	7. Arnadottir A. 25. Asgeirsdottir E. 6. Birgisdottir H. 23. Bjarnadottir B. F. 8. Finnbogadottir B. 27. Ingvarsdottir A. 1. Johannsdottir H. (G) 17. Kruger E. 19. Stefansdottir A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Johannesdottir F. ⚽,
31', Arnadottir M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Johannsdottir B. ⚽, Johannesdottir M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Johannesdottir F. ↓, Arnarsdottir H. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Jorundsdottir S. ⚽,
61', Jonsdottir H. ↓, Finnbogadottir B. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Arnarsdottir H. ⚽,
73', Johannesdottir M. ↓, Arnadottir A. ↑,
74', Bjornsdottir E. ↓, Stefansdottir A. ↑,
74', Asgrimsdottir A. ↓, Asgeirsdottir E. ↑,
75', Johannsdottir B. ↓, Gisladottir M. ↑,
75', Ulfarsdottir U. ↓, Tiernan M. ↑,
86', Sigurgeirsdottir K. ↓, Kruger E. ↑,
86', Jorundsdottir S. ↓, Bjornsdottir E. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Flurey E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 2.

Stjarnan is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Thor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Stjarnan is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stjarnan W	21	7	6	8	32:33	-1	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stjarnan Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
10.07.26	Valur - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
22.06.26	Stjarnan - Fram	3:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup Women
18.06.26	Grindavík Njarðvík - Stjarnan	2:1 AET ✺
Icelandic Besta deild Women
13.06.26	Breiðablik - Stjarnan	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Stjarnan - Vestmannaeyjar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWLWW
- Thor Akureyri Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
09.07.26	Thor Akureyri - Grindavík Njarðvík	1:0 ✺
22.06.26	Thor Akureyri - Throttur	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Valur - Thor Akureyri	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Vikingur	4:6 ✺
25.05.26	Fram - Thor Akureyri	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup Women
15.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:4
Icelandic Besta deild Women
06.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	2:2
06.09.25	Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri	4:1
24.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:0
Icelandic League Cup Women
24.03.25	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	2:1 penalties
Icelandic Besta deild Women
15.08.24	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	2:2
15.06.24	Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri	1:4

Stjarnan - Thor Akureyri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide