Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 14

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Samsung völlurinn (Gardabaer)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 2
World	Onefootball


	Stjarnan		Vikingur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.7	4.85	1.43	Watch
	6.83	5.01	1.41
	5.29	4.79	1.53	Watch
	6	4.4	1.4
	6.17	4.95	1.41	Watch
	4.1	4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (4.35)	4.67 ↑ (4.35)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
16.4%

Draw
19.9%

Vikingur Reykjavik
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vikingur Reykjavik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vikingur Reykjavik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vikingur (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Vikingur (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vikingur Reykjavik will win (22 of 22 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vikingur (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Olafsson A. (G) 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 3. Kjeldsen G. 27. Dankerlui D. 8. Gunnarsson J. 18. Nokkvason G. 17. Brink H. O. 19. Matthiasson D. 11. Ingason B. 99. Bjarnason A.	29. Fridriksson A. (G) 22. Gunnarsson K. 4. Ekroth O. (C) 6. Vatnhamar G. 19. Borgthorsson O. 11. Hafsteinsson D. 10. Sigurdsson G. 9. Gudjonsson H. 25. Ingimundarson V. 7. Agnarsson E. 28. Omarsson E.
Substitutes
22. Atlason E. 1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 36. Bjornsson A. 37. Bjornsson B. 33. Gardarsson B. 32. Orvarsson O. 38. Porsteinsson E. 35. Saemundsson B. 4. Thorisson T.	8. Andrason V. 24. Atlason D. 14. Bjarnason J. 52. Bjarnason V. 69. Finnbogason A. 20. Ibrahimagic T. 35. Ingolfsson T. 2. Thorkelsson S. 21. Thrandarson A.
Coaches
Elisabetarson J.	Ottesen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Sigurdsson G. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 0 - 2, Borgthorsson O. ⚽, Ingimundarson V. (A),
39', Ekroth O. 🟨,
40', Kjeldsen G. 🟨,
40', Gunnarsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, Dankerlui D. ⚽,
65', 1 - 3, Ingimundarson V. ⚽, Agnarsson E. (A),
66', Bjarnason A. ↓, Atlason E. ↑,
70', Hafsteinsson D. ↓, Ibrahimagic T. ↑,
70', Ekroth O. ↓, Thorkelsson S. ↑,
76', Agnarsson E. ↓, Finnbogason A. ↑,
76', Gunnarsson K. ↓, Atlason D. ↑,
82', Ingimundarson V. 🟨,
82', Finnbogason A. 🟨,
86', Omarsson E. ↓, Thrandarson A. ↑,
89', Ingimarsson S. T. ↓, Thorisson T. ↑,
90+2', Dankerlui D. ↓, Bjornsson A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 1.

Recent form of Stjarnan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vikingur is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of home games.

In this match, Vikingur is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 33:42. (average 1.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.6:2.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik ✔	24	18	5	1	73:23	50	59

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.05.26	Stjarnan - Fram	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Keflavík - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Stjarnan - Akraness	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWLL
- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.05.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - FH Hafnarfjordur	5:0 ✺
17.05.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.05.26	HK Kópavogur - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	6:0 ✺
03.05.26	Keflavík - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
23.04.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	3:2
29.09.25	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:3
10.08.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	2:4
19.05.25	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2
06.10.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	2:2
Icelandic Cup
03.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	2:1 penalties
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.06.24	Stjarnan - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:4

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