Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 8

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Samsung völlurinn (Gardabaer)

Referee: Thordarson T. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport 6
World	Onefootball


	Stjarnan		Fram

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.8	2.45
	2.4	4.05	2.38	Watch
	2.49	4.3	2.42
	2.46	4.31	2.41	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.5
	2.43	4.05	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.56)	4.02 ↓ (4.21)	2.42 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
38.6%

Draw
23.1%

Fram
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

22.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

22.1%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Stjarnan - Fram Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fram will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Olafsson A. (G) 19. Matthiasson D. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 32. Orvarsson O. 11. Ingason B. 8. Gunnarsson J. 18. Nokkvason G. 27. Dankerlui D. 17. Brink H. O. 99. Bjarnason A.	22. Sigurdsson V. (G) 19. Chopart K. (C) 5. McLagan K. 26. Runarsson S. 3. Thorbjornsson T. 8. Asgrimsson H. 25. Sigurdsson F. 18. Jonasson A. 10. Fred Saraiva 9. Hauksson R. 15. Bystrom J.
Substitutes
1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 36. Bjornsson A. 37. Bjornsson B. 33. Gardarsson B. 14. Hauksson B. 3. Kjeldsen G. 30. Martin M. A. D. 35. Saemundsson B. 4. Thorisson T.	4. Adalsteinsson A. 23. Aegisson M. 16. Garcia I. 1. Hardarson S. (G) 17. Jonasson A. 7. Konradsson K. 14. Runolfsson B.
Coaches
Elisabetarson J.	Kristinsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Matthiasson D. 🟨,
60', Asgrimsson H. 🟨,
65', Matthiasson D. ↓, Thorisson T. ↑,
68', Gunnarsson J. 🟨,
71', Bjarnason A. ↓, Hauksson B. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Hauksson R. ⚽, Sigurdsson F. (A),
72', Brink H. O. ↓, Gardarsson B. ↑,
73', 🟨,
73', Bystrom J. ↓, Jonasson A. ↑,
73', McLagan K. ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
80', Garcia I. 🟨,
82', Dankerlui D. ↓, Bjornsson B. ↑,
82', Hauksson R. ↓, Aegisson M. ↑,
85', Fred Saraiva ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
86', Sigurdsson F. 🟨,
88', Hauksson B. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 2.

Stjarnan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fram is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fram may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fram	24	13	7	4	59:47	12	46

Last Results with these Odds

Fram - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.05.26	Keflavík - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Stjarnan - Akraness	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Stjarnan - Valur	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLLL
- Fram Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.05.26	KR Reykjavík - Fram	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Fram - Valur	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fram	3:4 ✺
27.04.26	Fram - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	5:1 ✺
23.04.26	Thor Akureyri - Fram	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
21.02.26	Fram - Stjarnan	2:3
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.10.25	Fram - Stjarnan	1:1
06.08.25	Fram - Stjarnan	1:1
10.05.25	Stjarnan - Fram	2:0
06.08.24	Fram - Stjarnan	2:1
10.05.24	Stjarnan - Fram	1:1
26.07.23	Stjarnan - Fram	4:0

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