The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stoke City U21 13.1%
Draw 16.2%
Chelsea U21 70.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.5%
18.2%
66.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.1%
17.8%
67.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Chelsea U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea U21 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Stoke City U21 - Chelsea U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Knight L. (G) 6. Mears J. (C) 4. Otegbayo P. 5. Anderson F. 3. Bardsley R. 2. Dauda A. 8. Morrison G. 7. Achu T. 10. Nixon F. 11. Fearn E. 9. Walker A.
1. Bernal F. (G) 2. Black L. 3. Osborne A. 4. Osagie J. 5. Subuloye O. (C) 8. McMahon H. 6. Watson R. 7. Eboue M. 10. Bettoni H. 11. Gordon S. 9. Ezenwata C.
Substitutes
18. Bradbury L. 17. Frost Z. 13. Hatton O. (G) 14. Makavore P. 12. Martin T. 15. McWilliams J. 16. Midwood T.
12. Alao Y. 15. Badu Da Silva I. 13. Bell T. (G) 17. Grimwade H. 18. Paez K. 16. Rabbaj I. 14. Waite D.
Coaches
Stockley S.
Hudson H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Achu T. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Osagie J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Eboue M. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
67', Fearn E. ↓, Makavore P. ↑,
68', Osborne A. ↓, Alao Y. ↑,
76', Makavore P. ↓, Midwood T. ↑,
84', Achu T. ↓, Martin T. ↑,
89', Alao Y. 🟨,
90+2', Walker A. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Knight L. (Own goal),
90+4', Watson R. 🟨,
90+6', Bettoni H. 🟨,
Preview
Stoke U21 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chelsea U21 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Stoke U21 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Chelsea U21 for this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Stoke U21 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stoke U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals.