Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: St. George's Park Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Referee: Jamie O. (Eng)


	Stoke City U21		Sunderland U21

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.6	3.65	2.2
	2.87	3.62	2.31
	2.78	3.44	2.26	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (1.93)	3.52 ↓ (3.55)	2.23 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City U21
33.1%

Draw
26%

Sunderland U21
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

25.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

20.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City U21's form might have worsened.

Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Stoke City U21 - Sunderland U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stoke U21 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sunderland U21 will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 and 10).

Stoke U21 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sunderland U21 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sunderland U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stoke U21 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City U21
English Premier League 2
17.10.22	Nottingham Forest U21 - Stoke City U21	4:1 ✺
09.10.22	Stoke City U21 - Norwich City U21	2:2 ✺
30.09.22	Leeds United U21 - Stoke City U21	4:0 ✺
18.09.22	Stoke City U21 - Aston Villa U21	3:3 ✺
26.08.22	Middlesbrough U21 - Stoke City U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL
- Sunderland U21
English Premier League Cup
14.10.22	Sunderland U21 - Reading U21	1:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
10.10.22	Sunderland U21 - Leeds United U21	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Nottingham Forest U21 - Sunderland U21	1:0 ✺
23.09.22	Middlesbrough U21 - Sunderland U21	2:0 ✺
29.08.22	Sunderland U21 - West Bromwich Albion U21	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

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