Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday


	Stolem Gniewino		Jarota Jarocin

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.5	1.24
	7.2	4.9	1.3
	6.24	4.93	1.35
	7.7	4.74	1.34	Watch
	6.3	4.7	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.19 ↑ (2.41)	4.95 ↑ (3.3)	1.32 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stolem Gniewino
12.6%

Draw
18.3%

Jarota Jarocin
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.9%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stolem Gniewino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stolem Gniewino's form might have worsened.

Jarota Jarocin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jarota Jarocin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stolem Gniewino than the current prediction. (+24.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stolem Gniewino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jarota Jarocin than the current prediction. (-33.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jarota Jarocin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Stolem Gniewino - Jarota Jarocin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Stolem Gniewino will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Jarota will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarota: 35.2% – 92%.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Stolem Gniewino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jarota is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jarota will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Stolem Gniewino won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Stolem Gniewino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stolem Gniewino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.09.22	Vineta Wolin - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Stolem Gniewino - Sokół Kleczew	3:1 ✺
27.08.22	Unia Solec Kujawski - Stolem Gniewino	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Stolem Gniewino - Swit Skolwin	0:3 ✺
17.08.22	Stolem Gniewino - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTLL
- Jarota Jarocin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.09.22	Jarota Jarocin - Gedania Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
02.09.22	Olimpia Grudziądz - Jarota Jarocin	5:1 ✺
27.08.22	Jarota Jarocin - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Cartusia Kartuzy - Jarota Jarocin	1:3 ✺
17.08.22	Jarota Jarocin - Unia Janikowo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.05.22	Jarota Jarocin - Stolem Gniewino	2:2
23.10.21	Stolem Gniewino - Jarota Jarocin	1:1

Stolem Gniewino - Jarota Jarocin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide