Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 13

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Stolem Gniewino		Swit Skolwin

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.5
				Watch
	4.83	4.24	1.48
	5.4	4.33	1.46	Watch
	4.6	4.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↓ (6.5)	4.29 ↓ (5.4)	1.49 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stolem Gniewino
18.4%

Draw
21%

Swit Skolwin
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

16.7%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

16.1%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stolem Gniewino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Swit Skolwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swit Skolwin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stolem Gniewino than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swit Skolwin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stolem Gniewino - Swit Skolwin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Stolem Gniewino has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Swit Skolwin is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Swit Skolwin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Swit Skolwin to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stolem Gniewino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Stolem Gniewino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stolem Gniewino
Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.10.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Stolem Gniewino - Vineta Wolin	2:3 ✺
01.10.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Stolem Gniewino	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Stolem Gniewino - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:6 ✺
16.09.23	Sokół Kleczew - Stolem Gniewino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.10.23	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Starogard Gdański - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	Swit Skolwin - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.03.23	Swit Skolwin - Stolem Gniewino	3:1
21.08.22	Stolem Gniewino - Swit Skolwin	0:3
30.04.22	Swit Skolwin - Stolem Gniewino	2:0
25.09.21	Stolem Gniewino - Swit Skolwin	3:2

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