Match Info

Date: 14 August 2021, Saturday


	Stomil Olsztyn		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.65
	4.75	3.5	1.7
	4.75	3.6	1.62
	4.9	3.6	1.64
	5.51	3.8	1.69
	4.75	3.4	1.65
	5	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (4.92)	3.64 ↑ (3.64)	1.66 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stomil Olsztyn
18.6%

Draw
25.5%

Arka Gdynia
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

25.4%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

20.8%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stomil Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arka Gdynia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stomil Olsztyn - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Stomil is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Arka have a series of home games.

In this match Arka is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Stomil won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Stomil won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 1
08.08.21	GKS Jastrzębie - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
01.08.21	Stomil Olsztyn - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Stomil Olsztyn - Sokół Ostróda	2:0 ✺
21.07.21	Stomil Olsztyn - Bałtyk Gdynia	2:2 ✺
10.07.21	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stomil Olsztyn	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWTL
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
07.08.21	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	0:2 ✺
31.07.21	Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.21	Arka Gdynia - Hapoel Tel Aviv	3:1 ✺
16.07.21	Sigma Olomouc - Arka Gdynia	1:1 ✺
13.07.21	Arka Gdynia - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.04.21	Arka Gdynia - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0
17.10.20	Stomil Olsztyn - Arka Gdynia	1:1
13.05.16	Stomil Olsztyn - Arka Gdynia	0:4
23.10.15	Arka Gdynia - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1
14.03.15	Arka Gdynia - Stomil Olsztyn	4:1
23.08.14	Stomil Olsztyn - Arka Gdynia	1:0
Club Friendly
12.02.14	Arka Gdynia - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0

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