Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 7

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion OSiR (Olsztyn)


	Stomil Olsztyn		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.3
	1.8	3.68	3.99
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.8	3.68	3.86	Watch
	2	3.35	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.4)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	3.64 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stomil Olsztyn
48.6%

Draw
26.3%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stomil Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stomil Olsztyn's performance.

Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chojniczanka Chojnice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stomil Olsztyn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chojniczanka Chojnice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stomil Olsztyn - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jakubowski L. (G) 18. Bezpalec M. 50. Karlikowski M. 4. Kosmicki I. 7. Krawczun H. 3. Kuban L. 9. Kurbiel P. 14. Szabaciuk F. 17. Szramowski L. 11. Wojcik F. 10. Zwir K.	29. Primel D. (G) 16. Borysiuk A. 14. Edmundsson A. 9. Giel P. 4. Golak S. 98. Kolesar P. 17. Mikolajczak T. 34. Nowacki D. 77. Pralat A. 26. Raburski C. 54. Szymusik G.
Substitutes
89. Bala T. 77. Florek B. 30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 23. Laskowski F. 19. Pietraszkiewicz D. 25. Sadowski H. 6. Shinonaga Y. 8. Stromecki M. 29. Tuleja R.	80. Banach D. 21. Golinski J. 91. Korczyc K. 79. Kozina M. 6. Paprzycki O. 18. Skonieczny K. 33. Szablowski S. (G) 7. Szczepanek B. 19. Szczytniewski S.

Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stomil won 3.

Stomil is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chojniczanka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chojniczanka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stomil will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Stomil won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Stomil won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 2
26.08.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Stomil Olsztyn - ŁKS Łódź II	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Wisła Puławy - Stomil Olsztyn	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
09.08.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Radunia Stężyca	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
05.08.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLT
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
26.08.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chojniczanka Chojnice	5:2 ✺
12.08.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
09.08.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Śląsk Wrocław 2	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
05.08.23	ŁKS Łódź II - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.07.21	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stomil Olsztyn	3:1
19.02.21	Stomil Olsztyn - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1
Polish Division 1
13.06.20	Stomil Olsztyn - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:0
07.09.19	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stomil Olsztyn	1:3
06.04.19	Stomil Olsztyn - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:0
15.09.18	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stomil Olsztyn	2:1
Club Friendly
17.02.18	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stomil Olsztyn	3:1

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