Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion OSiR (Olsztyn)


	Stomil Olsztyn		Legia II

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.23
	2.81	3.45	2.17
	2.73	3.52	2.29	Watch
	2.85	3.46	2.19	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.57)	3.49 ↓ (3.57)	2.21 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stomil Olsztyn
32.7%

Draw
26.1%

Legia II
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

25.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

25.2%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stomil Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Stomil Olsztyn - Legia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 0 - 1, Mozdzen M. ⚽,
51', 0 - 2, Adkonis J. ⚽,
63', 0 - 3, Majchrzak J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).

Stomil is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legia II is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stomil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Legia II will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stomil won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.09.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Wigry Suwałki	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Mławianka Mława - Stomil Olsztyn	3:4 ✺
25.08.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
21.08.24	Broń Radom - Stomil Olsztyn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.09.24	Legia II - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:2 ✺
31.08.24	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Legia II	1:4 ✺
25.08.24	Legia II - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
21.08.24	Mławianka Mława - Legia II	1:4 ✺
17.08.24	Legia II - Wikielec	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.12.22	Legia II - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0

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