Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 27

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Legia II		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.35	5.9
	1.41	4.4	5.66
	1.43	4.52	5.88	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.4	4.3	6.45	Watch
	1.65	3.87	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.65)	4.24 ↑ (3.87)	5.61 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
62.5%

Draw
21.4%

Wigry Suwałki
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

22.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

21.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia II's performance.

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigry Suwałki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigry Suwałki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Legia II - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Nsame J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 4).

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Legia II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Legia II is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Legia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Legia II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Legia II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.04.26	Legia II - Wisła Płock II	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Legia II	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Legia II - Wasilków	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTWW
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - ŁKS Łomża	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Wikielec - Wigry Suwałki	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Wigry Suwałki - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Wisła Płock II - Wigry Suwałki	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Wigry Suwałki - Znicz Biała Piska	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.09.25	Wigry Suwałki - Legia II	2:4
30.04.25	Wigry Suwałki - Legia II	3:1
25.08.24	Legia II - Wigry Suwałki	1:1
Polish Cup
24.09.19	Legia II - Wigry Suwałki	2:0

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