Match Info

Ekstraliga Women - Round 10

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Stomilanki Olsztyn		Pogoń Tczew

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.35
	1.88	3.83	3.40	Watch
	1.83	3.66	3.58
	1.96	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.04)	3.82 ↑ (3.7)	3.58 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stomilanki Olsztyn
50.4%

Draw
24%

Pogoń Tczew
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

24.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

23.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stomilanki Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stomilanki Olsztyn's performance.

Pogoń Tczew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stomilanki Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stomilanki Olsztyn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Tczew than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Tczew could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stomilanki Olsztyn - Pogoń Tczew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 0, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Stomilanki Olsztyn has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pogoń Tczew is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Stomilanki Olsztyn might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stomilanki Olsztyn won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stomilanki Olsztyn won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stomilanki Olsztyn
Polish Ekstraliga Women
11.10.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Stomilanki Olsztyn	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Stomilanki Olsztyn - AP Gdańsk	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	UKS SMS Łódź - Stomilanki Olsztyn	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Stomilanki Olsztyn - Śląsk Wrocław	0:5 ✺
13.09.25	Górnik Łęczna - Stomilanki Olsztyn	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 LLWLL
- Pogoń Tczew
Polish Ekstraliga Women
11.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Pogoń Tczew	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Pogoń Tczew - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Czarni Sosnowiec - Pogoń Tczew	7:0 ✺
19.09.25	Pogoń Tczew - AP Gdańsk	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Pogoń Tczew - UKS SMS Łódź	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraliga Women
27.04.25	Pogoń Tczew - Stomilanki Olsztyn	1:2
06.10.24	Stomilanki Olsztyn - Pogoń Tczew	2:0
05.05.24	Stomilanki Olsztyn - Pogoń Tczew	2:0
14.10.23	Pogoń Tczew - Stomilanki Olsztyn	2:1

Stomilanki Olsztyn - Pogoń Tczew: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide