Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Stovner		Grorud 2

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Stovner
31.3%

Draw
23.5%

Grorud 2
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

23.2%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

18.1%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Stovner have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Grorud 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stovner than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stovner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grorud 2 than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grorud 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Stovner is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Grorud 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stovner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grorud 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stovner SK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
18.09.21	Nybergsund - Stovner	1:0 ✺
12.09.21	Ull Kisa 2 - Stovner	3:0 ✺
01.09.21	Stovner - Lillestrøm 2	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Lørenskog - Stovner	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Stovner - Brumunddal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLTTL
- Grorud 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
19.09.21	Grorud 2 - Lillestrøm 2	3:1 ✺
12.09.21	Gjøvik-Lyn - Grorud 2	4:1 ✺
02.09.21	Grorud 2 - Raufoss 2	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	Kongsvinger 2 - Grorud 2	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	Grorud 2 - Gjelleråsen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTWL

Stovner - Grorud 2