Match Info

NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Strømmen Stadion (Strømmen)


	Strømmen		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.5
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	1.95	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.98	3.41	3.39
	1.95	3.56	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.01	3.6	3.51
	1.95	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.3)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	3.38 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømmen
46.1%

Draw
26.6%

Mjøndalen
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.3%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

25.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strømmen's performance.

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mjøndalen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømmen than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strømmen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mjøndalen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Strømmen - Mjøndalen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Strømmen will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strømmen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vits S. (G) 98. Romo Lillo T. 4. Balatoni M. 2. Rindal S. 23. Lien F. 3. Crestani C. 6. Solberg N. 8. Asvestad E. 17. Volden M. 11. Sundberg M. (C) 14. Kristengard J.	87. Oy L. (G) 4. Mrakovic T. 5. Midtgarden E. (C) 2. Vik I. 15. Kvam F. 10. Neto L. 17. Bata K. 28. Sawaneh E. 11. Bruusgaard J. 18. Arsbog N. 20. Conteh A.
Substitutes
9. Hristov N. 21. Jansson O. 30. Kollstrom M. (G) 33. Nilsen S. 16. Nord A. 24. Paulsen M. 19. Rogne E. 20. Solli M.	24. Birk D. 21. Bratvold S. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 14. Midtgard O. 7. Reutersward L. 37. Singh B. 6. Skau J. 34. Ween L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Bata K. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Midtgarden E. (Own goal),
45+2', 1 - 1, Conteh A. ⚽, Bruusgaard J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Crestani C. 🟨,
60', Crestani C. ↓, Rogne E. ↑,
60', Sundberg M. ↓, Hristov N. ↑,
62', Asvestad E. 🟨,
64', Bata K. ↓, Skau J. ↑,
72', Arsbog N. ↓, Reutersward L. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Conteh A. ⚽, Bruusgaard J. (A),
76', Volden M. ↓, Solli M. ↑,
80', Neto L. 🟨,
85', Bruusgaard J. ↓, Bratvold S. ↑,
85', Lien F. ↓, Jansson O. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 3, Conteh A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strømmen won 0.

Strømmen is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mjøndalen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Strømmen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Strømmen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Strømmen - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømmen IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
03.05.25	Strømmen - Eidsvold Turn	5:1 ✺
27.04.25	Alta - Strømmen	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Strømmen - Raufoss	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
19.04.25	Strømmen - Follo	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.04.25	Bjørkelangen Høland - Strømmen	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Mjøndalen - Start	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Mjøndalen - Strømsgodset	2:1 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.04.25	Åssiden - Mjøndalen	1:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Strømmen - Mjøndalen	1:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.08.18	Mjøndalen - Strømmen	1:0
21.05.18	Strømmen - Mjøndalen	0:1
20.08.17	Mjøndalen - Strømmen	3:0
02.07.17	Strømmen - Mjøndalen	2:2
Club Friendly
28.02.17	Strømmen - Mjøndalen	3:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
11.09.16	Strømmen - Mjøndalen	0:0

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