Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 3

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Hatam A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Aalesunds		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	10
	1.27	5.25	9
	1.25	6	11	Watch
	1.31	5.76	10.47
	1.28	5.36	10.44	Watch
	1.3	5	8.5
	1.3	5	9.99	Watch
	1.25	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)	5.42 ↓ (5.5)	10.05 ↑ (7.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
73.3%

Draw
17.3%

Mjøndalen
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

16.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

16.2%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Aalesunds - Mjøndalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 5. Kjelsen A. 45. Aukland P. 4. Haram S. 2. Andresen M. 11. Johannsson D. 6. Hammer H. 66. Seehusen J. 7. Nesso K. 9. Ngongo P. (C) 10. Braga C.	87. Oy L. (G) 26. Eriksen S. 5. Midtgarden E. (C) 2. Vik I. 3. Molund A. 16. Godwin F. 17. Bata K. 28. Sawaneh E. 6. Skau J. 18. Arsbog N. 20. Conteh A.
Substitutes
33. Doving M. V. 3. Gudmundsson O. 34. Gulbrandsen T. 19. Heiselberg F. 14. Kristensen M. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K. 8. Melland H. 27. Reed H. M.	24. Birk D. 21. Bratvold S. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 11. Bruusgaard J. 15. Kvam F. 14. Midtgard O. 4. Mrakovic T.
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Nicol K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Conteh A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Aukland P. ↓, Gudmundsson O. ↑,
63', Bata K. ↓, Bruusgaard J. ↑,
67', Godwin F. 🟨,
68', Hammer H. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
68', Andresen M. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
69', Ngongo P. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,
71', Braga C. (Pen),
74', Godwin F. ↓, Midtgard O. ↑,
75', Arsbog N. ↓, Kvam F. ↑,
82', Kristensen M. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
84', Midtgarden E. 🟨,
85', Sawaneh E. ↓, Mrakovic T. ↑,
85', Conteh A. ↓, Bratvold S. ↑,
90+5', Vik I. 🟨,
90+6', Johannsson D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 0.

Aalesunds is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mjøndalen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aalesunds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Aalesunds have a series of guest games.

In this match Aalesunds is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Aalesunds won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.3:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Aalesunds won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.04.25	Sogndal - Aalesunds	3:4 ✺
31.03.25	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Lyn - Aalesunds	4:5 ✺
08.03.25	Tromsø - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTLWW
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian NM Cup
12.04.25	Åssiden - Mjøndalen	1:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.04.25	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
31.03.25	Egersund - Mjøndalen	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Mjøndalen - Haugesund	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Mjøndalen - Moss	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.09.24	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	0:1
04.05.24	Mjøndalen - Aalesunds	1:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.12.20	Mjøndalen - Aalesunds	3:0
01.07.20	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	1:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.09.18	Mjøndalen - Aalesunds	2:0
06.05.18	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	2:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.11.15	Mjøndalen - Aalesunds	1:2

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