The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stranraer 48.2%
Draw 27.2%
Annan Athletic 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
26.5%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
26.1%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
The chances for Annan Athletic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Stranraer - Annan Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Currie M. (G) 2. Dunne E. 4. McLuckie M. 21. Gillie L. 3. Ecrepont F. 14. Bruce Z. 6. Stuart J. 8. Quigg A. 15. Hughes R. (C) 11. Healy A. 16. Dobbie L.
1. Albinson C. (G) 14. McDermott B. 20. Carrick D. 33. Gibson W. 3. Clark C. 8. Smith P. 4. McKnight K. 11. Cooper C. 19. Maxwell C. (C) 18. Roy A. 9. Smith A.
Substitutes
23. Binnie M. 20. Cameron C. 77. Clelland D. 7. Dolan J. 13. Henderson E. (G) 18. Lynch E. 17. McManus D. 5. Nair K. 12. Traynor A.
21. Bryson C. 16. Connolly L. 15. Martins D. 12. Sliwinski M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Stuart J. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
61', Maxwell C. 🟨,
67', Gillie L. 🟨,
67', McLuckie M. 🟨,
71', Hughes R. ↓, Clelland D. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Roy A. ⚽,
80', Healy A. ↓, Traynor A. ↑,
86', Roy A. ↓, Connolly L. ↑,
90+1', Bruce Z. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 0.
Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.
Annan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Stranraer might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Stranraer won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).
Outrights of Scottish League Two for now
Stranraer: 16.43% Annan: 2.45%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Stranraer
9
5
2
2
17:8
9
17
9
Annan
9
3
0
6
9:11
-2
9
Last Results with these Odds
Annan Athletic - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.56%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.