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Current Win Probability
Stranraer 12.4%
Draw 19.5%
Ayr United 68.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14%
19.1%
66.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Stranraer - Ayr United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Currie M. (G) 20. Cameron C. 2. Dunne E. 5. Nair K. 3. Ecrepont F. 12. Traynor A. 14. Bruce Z. 7. Dolan J. 8. Quigg A. 15. Hughes R. (C) 16. Dobbie L.
1. Stone H. (G) 2. McAllister N. 4. Want S. 5. Holt K. 33. McMann S. 6. Lyon R. (C) 20. McBeth L. 22. McKenzie M. 16. Summers B. 11. Taylor R. 10. Shanks K.
Substitutes
23. Binnie M. 77. Clelland D. 22. Coll B. 21. Gillie L. 11. Healy A. 13. Henderson E. (G) 18. Lynch E. 4. McLuckie M.
3. Dick L. 34. Douglas J. 18. Hislop J. 25. Mitchell K. 38. Russell L. (G) 7. Stirton O. 26. Warbrick M. 32. Watret D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Nair K. 🟨,
34', Bruce Z. 🟨,
37', Traynor A. 🟨,
39', Want S. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Dolan J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', McMann S. ↓, Dick L. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Summers B. ⚽, Lyon R. (A),
57', 2 - 1, Traynor A. ⚽, Quigg A. (A),
58', Ecrepont F. ↓, Coll B. ↑,
58', Traynor A. ↓, Healy A. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Taylor R. ⚽, Shanks K. (A),
71', Shanks K. ↓, Stirton O. ↑,
73', Lyon R. 🟨,
74', Dolan J. ↓, Clelland D. ↑,
74', Nair K. ↓, McLuckie M. ↑,
74', Hughes R. ↓, Gillie L. ↑,
79', Dunne E. 🟨,
79', 2 - 3, Taylor R. (Penalty Awarded),
80', McKenzie M. ↓, Mitchell K. ↑,
87', Want S. ↓, Hislop J. ↑,
87', Taylor R. ↓, Watret D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 2.
Stranraer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ayr is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:37. (average 1.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Stranraer won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).