Match Info

League Two - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stair Park (Stranraer)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Spartans FC TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Stranraer		Spartans

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.50	2.30
	2.60	3.25	2.30
	2.55	3.35	2.25
	2.71	3.6	2.35
	2.65	3.48	2.37	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.3
	2.66	3.64	2.39
	2.65	3.45	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.87)	3.48 ↑ (3.27)	2.32 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
34.7%

Draw
26.1%

Spartans
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.6%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

26.1%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Stranraer - Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Currie M. (G) 2. Dunne E. 4. McLuckie M. 21. Gillie L. 3. Ecrepont F. 8. Quigg A. 17. McManus D. 14. Bruce Z. 12. Traynor A. 16. Dobbie L. (C) 77. Clelland D.	21. Martin P. (G) 2. Mudie M. 15. Sonkur A. 16. McKay D. 19. Drysdale E. 18. Walls B. 4. Welsh S. (C) 33. Whyte B. 11. Russell C. 9. McNulty M. 29. Stowe M.
Substitutes
11. Healy A. 13. Henderson E. (G) 15. Hughes R. 18. Lynch E. 23. Mason S. 5. Nair K. 6. Stuart J. . Trialist	1. Campbell R. 28. Craigen J. 6. Dall B. 14. Dinanga R. 7. Dishington J. 23. Heal B. 10. See O. 5. Tapping J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', McKay D. ↓, Tapping J. ↑,
59', Bruce Z. ↓, Hughes R. ↑,
59', McManus D. ↓, Stuart J. ↑,
61', Dunne E. 🟨,
64', Stowe M. ↓, Craigen J. ↑,
64', Walls B. ↓, Dinanga R. ↑,
66', Traynor A. ↓, Healy A. ↑,
66', Clelland D. ↓, Mason S. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, McLuckie M. ⚽, Ecrepont F. (A),
72', Gillie L. 🟨,
74', Sonkur A. 🟨,
82', Welsh S. ↓, Dishington J. ↑,
82', Russell C. ↓, See O. ↑,
90+3', McNulty M. 🟨,
90+4', Mason S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 3.

Stranraer has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Spartans has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Spartans has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Spartans will win today's game, with odds of 2.35.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stranraer won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2.8:1.5).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Stranraer: 16.43% Spartans: 7.87%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stranraer	9	5	2	2	17:8	9	17
4	Spartans	9	3	3	3	19:17	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Stranraer - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 31.41%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Spartans - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.02%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Alloa Athletic - Stranraer	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
08.08.26	Stranraer - Annan Athletic	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Clyde - Stranraer	3:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Falkirk - Stranraer	3:0 ✺
21.07.26	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Spartans FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	East Fife - Spartans	2:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
08.08.26	Spartans - Edinburgh City	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Annan Athletic - Spartans	2:4 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Montrose - Spartans	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Dundee United - Spartans	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
11.04.26	Spartans - Stranraer	1:2
21.02.26	Stranraer - Spartans	2:1
22.11.25	Spartans - Stranraer	0:4
13.09.25	Stranraer - Spartans	0:2
05.04.25	Spartans - Stranraer	2:1
01.02.25	Stranraer - Spartans	2:0
10.12.24	Spartans - Stranraer	1:2

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