Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Strogino Moskva		Metallurg Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	8.3	3.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.3 ↑ (6.7)	3.75 ↑ (3.5)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strogino Moskva
10.9%

Draw
24.2%

Metallurg Lipetsk
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

25.9%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

25.2%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Semin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Komarov D. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Tsechoev A. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Skvortsov A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strogino won 1.

Strogino has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metallurg Lipetsk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Strogino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Metallurg Lipetsk is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Strogino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 4:24. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Strogino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.4:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Lipetsk	26	14	6	6	47:28	19	48
11	FK Strogino Moscow	26	8	4	14	31:43	-12	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
23.05.26	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Strogino Moskva - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Strogino Moskva	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Shumbrat Saransk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWTLL
- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
23.05.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	4:0 ✺
20.05.26	Avangard Kursk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:5 ✺
25.04.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Volna Kovernino	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ryazan - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
09.08.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Strogino Moskva	3:0
19.04.25	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:3
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
02.10.22	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0
03.05.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Strogino Moskva	3:1
29.08.20	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:3
Russian PFL Center
19.10.19	Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:2
24.07.19	Metallurg Lipetsk - Strogino Moskva	4:0

Strogino Moskva - Metallurg Lipetsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide