Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Zenit Penza		Strogino Moskva

	1	X	2
	2.27	2.88	3.2
	2.16	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.29)	2.89 ↑ (2.86)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit Penza
40.7%

Draw
31.2%

Strogino Moskva
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31.8%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

30.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 0, Vezikov A. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 4.

Zenit Penza has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Strogino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Strogino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zenit Penza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Zenit Penza won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zenit Penza won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FK Strogino Moscow	26	8	4	14	31:43	-12	28
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Zenit Penza	5:0 ✺
08.05.26	Zenit Penza - Shumbrat Saransk	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Zenit Penza - Avangard Kursk	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Volna Kovernino - Zenit Penza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.05.26	Strogino Moskva - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Strogino Moskva	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Shumbrat Saransk	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Spartak Tambov	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
25.10.25	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	2:1
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	1:0
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
05.07.25	Strogino Moskva - Zenit Penza	3:0
08.09.24	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	2:0
26.05.24	Strogino Moskva - Zenit Penza	0:1
27.08.23	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	3:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
15.05.23	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	2:1

Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide