Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	Strogino Moskva		Torpedo Vladimir

	1	X	2
	2.99	3.26	2.13
	2.95	3.2	2.1
	3.04	3.25	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.32)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	2.13 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strogino Moskva
30%

Draw
27.8%

Torpedo Vladimir
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strogino Moskva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strogino Moskva's form might have worsened.

Torpedo Vladimir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo Vladimir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strogino Moskva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Vladimir than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo Vladimir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Strogino Moskva - Torpedo Vladimir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Simakov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 2, Chernenko S. ⚽,
67', 0 - 3, Popov K. ⚽,
71', Chelyshev N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strogino won 1.

Strogino is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Torpedo Vladimir's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Strogino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Strogino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Strogino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Spartak Tambov - Strogino Moskva	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Strogino Moskva - Volna Kovernino	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Rotor 2 - Strogino Moskva	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Strogino Moskva - Kvant Obninsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 69.3 WWWWW
- Torpedo Vladimir
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
02.08.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Baltika 2	2:2 ✺
24.07.26	Yenisey 2 - Torpedo Vladimir	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Torpedo Vladimir	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Cherepovets	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL West
07.05.17	Torpedo Vladimir - Strogino Moskva	0:0
25.09.16	Strogino Moskva - Torpedo Vladimir	0:3
20.04.16	Torpedo Vladimir - Strogino Moskva	2:1
08.09.15	Strogino Moskva - Torpedo Vladimir	0:0
06.05.15	Strogino Moskva - Torpedo Vladimir	3:2
17.09.14	Torpedo Vladimir - Strogino Moskva	0:0

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