Match Info

1. MFL - Round 28

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Gradska Plaža Stadium (Struga)


	Struga		Gostivar

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.95	3.6
	1.94	3.25	3.6
	2.02	2.86	3.84
	1.91	3.42	3.68	Watch
	1.9	3.32	3.69
	1.94	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.5)	3.18 ↑ (2.88)	3.67 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Struga
46.6%

Draw
28.6%

Gostivar
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

30.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Struga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Struga's performance.

Gostivar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gostivar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Struga than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Struga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gostivar than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gostivar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Struga - Gostivar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Kjosevski V. (G) 33. Compaore B. 27. Hamza M. 5. Ilievski B. 45. Jevtoski S. 19. Kasami A. 16. Krivanjeva B. 14. Radeski M. 55. Radic S. 11. Shabani B. (C) 2. Vlajkovic N.	1. Vasilev V. (G) 23. Aosman A. 22. Diatta A. 14. Dirar N. 9. Erwin L. 33. Glisic D. 90. Husmani Z. 99. Kalanoski A. 5. Kirovski A. 26. Potuk A. (C) 24. Trajcevski D.
Substitutes
10. Bojku B. 17. Fall P. 77. Islami V. 9. Kehinde L. 29. Maleski H. 99. Maudo 12. Mirseloski R. (G) 6. Spirovski S. 1. Stevkovski H. (G) 3. Tairi H. 18. Zenku S.	91. Abazi B. (G) 6. Ajdini R. 8. Aydogan O. 77. Dervishi E. 11. Elmas M. 15. Hamzikj M. 10. Ivanovski I. 7. Jusufi N. 16. Murati M. 27. Rifadov A. 4. Zuka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
54', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟨,
90+1', 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Struga won 2.

Struga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gostivar is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Struga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Struga will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Struga won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Struga won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Struga
North Macedonian 1 MFL
13.04.25	Rabotnički - Struga	0:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
09.04.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Struga	1:2 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
05.04.25	Struga - Pelister	4:1 ✺
31.03.25	Struga - Shkupi	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Besa Dobërdoll - Struga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWTL
- Gostivar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
13.04.25	Gostivar - Shkupi	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Besa Dobërdoll - Gostivar	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Gostivar - Voska Sport	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Tikveš - Gostivar	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Gostivar - AP Brera Strumica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian Cup
26.02.25	Struga - Gostivar	1:0
North Macedonian 1 MFL
16.02.25	Gostivar - Struga	1:0
29.09.24	Struga - Gostivar	2:2
04.05.24	Struga - Gostivar	1:0
29.10.23	Gostivar - Struga	2:1
06.08.23	Struga - Gostivar	2:0

Struga - Gostivar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide